Analysts predict split in Shiv Sena

Analysts predict split in Shiv Sena

Analysts predict split in Shiv Sena
October 30
15:44 2019

Are there tremors in the Shiv Sena. Is it headed for a split as party chief Uddhav Thackeray is not favouring support to the BJP in forming an alliance government in Maharashtra.

24 out of 56 of its newly-elected MLAs are contemplating the possibility of joining the BJP if Thackeray decides to stay out as five days since the results declared on 24 October, there is still no sign of government formation in the state.

The BJP, with 105 of the 288 seats is unable to form the government due to ally Shiv Sena’s adamant stand on a rotational tenure for the VM pist and a
written assurance on 50:50 formula that it claims was discussed during pre poll negotiations on seat sharing. Outgoing chief minister Devendra Fadnavis, however, said his party had given no such assurance to the Shiv Sena.

The stalemate has led to growing anger among the MLAs of both the BJP and the Shiv Sena. The BJP is angry as it is unable to find sizeable support from the other parties.

In 2014, after the BJP-Sena government was formed, a sizeable group of Shiv Sena MLAs were similarly ready to join the BJP, barely a month into the establishment of the Maharashtra government. “We were very clear then, we are very clear now,” said the Shiv Sena leader .

There seems to be little sympathy for the Shiv Sena as the party has behaved like an opposition when in government in the state. This time it appears to be sticking to its election slogan — “Heech thee waell (This is the time)”.

Sources in the Shiv Sena say that the win of Aditya Thackeray, the first of the Thackerays to contest and win an election, has buoyed the party and galvanised its senior leadership to stake claim to the chief minister’s post.

Since the new government has to be sworn in by 10 November, there is enough time for the talks to reach a conclusive end.

In the past, the late Pramod Mahajan was the fire-fighter for BJP. After Mahajan passed away, senior BJP minister Nitin Gadkari had donned the emissary hat.

The outgoing chief minister had met the Maharashtra Governor Bhagat Singh Koshiyari Monday but he was followed by senior Shiv Sena leader and former minister, Diwakar Raote, who too held a closed-door meeting with the Governor. This has led to speculation that the Shiv Sena is planning a political coup along with Sharad Pawar’s NCP and Independents to stake claim to form the government.

“The Shiv Sena will not accept anything less than the 50:50 formula,” Raote told the media after his meeting with the Governor. “We want it in writing from the BJP that they will give the Shiv Sena the CM’s post after two-and-a-half years.”

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